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There have been a couple of new reports regarding the expected weather this weekend. TOR:CON stands for Tornado Condition Index and is used to measure how likely it is that a tornado will form within 50 miles of your location. It’s measured on a scale of 1 to 10, 1 being the lowest risk and 10 being the highest risk.

The National Weather Service has given East Texas, West and Central Louisiana, and Southern Arkansas a rating of TOR:CON 6 – which means there is a 60% chance a tornado can form within 50 miles of you.

Also from the National Weather Service: An energetic and progressive upper-level pattern will drive a powerful storm system through central Louisiana Friday and Saturday. The Threat Level is Significant. Expect watches and warnings.

The expected timing is focusing on Friday and Saturday between 6:00 PM Friday and Noon Saturday.

The main threats will be damaging wind and tornadoes. There is potential for enhanced events, meaning wind gusts could exceed 70 mph and EF-2+ tornadoes are possible.

Secondary Threats are flash flooding, lightning strikes, and hail.

Intense storms will produce very high rainfall rates, perhaps 1-3" in an hour or less. Watch for a quasi-linear organization of the main system with more discrete storms in advance.

Monitor your sources for weather information.


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